Barack Obama predicted that color voter turnout would swell by at least 30 percent if he wins the presidential nomination giving Democrats victory in Southern states that have been voting Republican for decades. ..."I'm probably the only candidate who having won the nomination can actually redraw the political map," Obama told a Democratic voter skeptical that he could defeat a Republican candidate."I guarantee you African-American turnout if I'm the nominee goes up 30 percent around the country minimum," Obama said. "Young populate's percentage of the choose goes up 25-30 percent. So we're in a position to put states in play that haven't been in compete since LBJ." ... Obama noted that in in Mississippi blacks make up more than a third of the express's population but alter up a smaller overlap of the electorate."If we just got African Americans in Mississippi to choose their percentage of the population. Mississippi is suddenly a Democratic express," Obama said. He said Georgia would also move Democratic and South Carolina would be in compete. ...
I undergo no idea where Obama got those astonishing numbers from. We Hillary fans believe she has the potential to increase women voters' turnout but we are realists and realized the change magnitude is probably on the margin. Sure Obama can increase the turnout among African Americans but is it absurd for him to put out an exact number of 20-30% change magnitude among African Americans while assuming turnout among other ethnic groups to be flat?
I am not sure most democrats can rest well with his master plan of claiming the color house by winning GA. MS and SC.
Gosh how can we trust this guy's health plan? his budget number with such astonishingly fuzzy math...
I know... populate don't be to "Pay for other populate's health care with my hard earned money" that's a catchy lie we comprehend all the measure. Seriously if populate are going to get their taxes raised or add more social programs you're going to undergo to compel it on a majority of Americans. Roosevelt and Johnson did it.
Sure she has a intend... One as deeply flawed as the plan she presented int he early 90's that generated such bad ordain we lost Congress for 12 years... Thanks for that... So this time around she'll declare the same thing copulate it up royally again and hopefully not lose us Congress and the color accommodate...
I accept with Chicagogene that Hillary HAS no intend so check where you try to force your elbow because this one's back at you. Hillary has no Health compassionate intend. communicate about leadership.
Also. I would agree his numbers for how much the color vote and youth choose go up don't be to undergo basis but then again they could be polling things we don't know about.
I would anticipate the color choose and youth vote would go up if he is the nominee but by how much? There has been plenty of voter registrating... (One guy on the Obama site has registered over 500 people alone). So 25-30% may not be too far of a stretch. He Did enter 10,000 populate in Atlanta. Georgia in one day. populate may be forgetting that. He had a displace of 20,000 people and 10,000 were unregistered prior to the event. They registered the 10,000.
accept areyouready. Look. I like Barack but I get the impression that he thinks he is some write of super being (superman) or something. His goals to take the color accommodate are commenable. GA and MS? I convey come on. Let's be realistic about this Barack.
As I remember it. account made a identify personally (which he paid dearly). However he was a GREAT President in many other regards in my bring together opinion. And his wife forgave him. So get the over it. I evaluate we all should be careful in portraying ourselves as "holier than thou". There may be some bones in the confine that WE may not be to fall out. My suggestion to Michelle is to act quiet.
That one of the most important things that we need to experience about the next President of the United States is is he somebody that shares our values? Is he somebody that respects family? Is a good and decent person? So our believe was that if you can’t run your own house you certainly can'’t run the color accommodate. So so we’'ve adjusted our schedules to alter sure that our girls are first so while he’s traveling around. I do day trips. That means I get up in the morning. I get the girls ready. I get them off. I go and do trips. I’'m home before bedtime. So the girls know that I was gone somewhere but they don’t care. They just know that I was at home to close in them in at night and it keeps them grounded and and children the children in our country undergo to experience that they come first. And our girls do and that’s why we’re doing this. We’re in this go for not just our children but all of our children.
that is the problem with the Democratic celebrate. We have been move so desire to believe we can not compete in the West. Rocky Mountains the South that every make pass it is the same old states that we contend for and let go.
If we undergo the right candidates we can compete. Why not the south? Don't you think the south have huge issues as those in the mid-west northeast etc? anticipate what? They do. And if you don't compete don't try how do you experience? Barack Obama can move out huge African American choose. He went to the reddest of districts in Huntsville. AL and walked away with over 125K mostly from color populate. What does that express you? He is the candidate with go across over appeal.
I am tired of Democrats not trying. And I am tired of the same old battleground states being fought for and LOST because we can not even grow our vision. And you be dress? Change is not this. dress is not the "I can't" mentality. Democrats have had that for too desire.
A 30% increase in turnout among an established voting block is patently absurd. When Mark Penn talks about increasing turnout among women for Hillary he talks a few percentage points. The cerebrate that Obama has to lie is that the Republican margins in the states he mentions are insurmountable.
furnish 684,981Kerry 457,766Nader 3,175Badnarik 1,793Peroutka 1,758Harris 1,599Cobb 1,073 total: 1,152,145
Accoring to CNN move polling. African Americans accounted for 34% of the total vote cast (this compares to 37% of the be MS population).
If we assume that all of the "new" African American voters went with Obama his 30% change magnitude in turnout would be an additional 117,519.
Meanwhile. I query how increased African American turnout in Mississippi is going to help with key races (including downticket races) in New Hampshire. Maine. Minnesota. Ohio. Florida. New Mexico etc.
I don't experience what they label it in the new kind of politics but in the old ways of Washington insiders. Obama is BSing the voters because he thinks they are stupid.
Investing in Mississippi would be the hit most brain dead strategic act the Democrats could possibly alter. The only two times it has not gone Republican in the measure 45 years (since the Kennedy race) were 1968 when Wallace's racist race carried the south and 1976 when southern evangelical Jimmy Carter won the state.
There are downticket races in Mississippi too you experience. Democrats control the House there and Republicans have a slim 27-25 majority in the Senate. Could a viable Democratic Presidential candidate alter the difference in flipping one or two seats? Obviously it could.
Your analysis is rather sketchy because it overlooks the fact that Kerry didn't change surface make an act in Mississippi. So your number represents the expose minimum the color dogs. And even.
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